We are now 17 months out from the 2011 Board of Supervisors elections. While that’s a long way away, it’s within range for candidates to start their planning – and fundraising. Kelly Burk has been raising money for her re-election bid, and there are rumors circulating of potential opponents lining up to run against the incumbents.

Thanks to work done by the Virginia Public Access Project, we can see who has raised what by their public filings to this point.

Some interesting financial observations follow, like the whopping $3 raised by Scott York. Click through to consider the implications.First, the zeros. Raising no money at this point is often a sign that the candidate will not be running for re-election.

• Jim Burton – Blue Ridge – $0
• Sally Kurtz – Catoctin – $0
• Andrea McGimsey – Potomac – $0

I would be surprised if Supervisor McGimsey did not run for re-election. Her focus has always been on policy, not politics, and it seems likely she just hasn’t gotten around to raising money yet. Of course, it would behoove her to get started, now. As for Supervisors Burton and Kurtz, their retirement from the Board has been speculated for quite some time, and their lack of fundraising gives credence to that expectation.

Next the nominally funded. While not zero, these less-than-impressive fundraisers may not have their hearts in running again, with money coming in to them by inertia of multi-term incumbency, rather than any active solicitation on their part.

• Scott York – Chairman At Large – $3 (Yes, three whole dollars.)
• Lori Waters – Broad Run – $273

Scott York and Lori Waters are definitely on the retirement watch list. Chairman York has been rumored to be ripe for retirement after the bruising 2009 elections, during which he had to leave both his party and his job in order to stick to his policy principles as Chairman. Lori Waters, on the other hand, has been a popular incumbent in Broad Run for two terms, and has been considered a future rising star of the local Republican party for some time. It would be a reversal were she not to run for re-election.

And now, the fundraisers. Unlike their colleagues, the rest of the Supervisors have raised thousands of dollars towards re-election already.

• Stevens Miller – Dulles $5,097
• Kelly Burk – Leesburg – $3,348
• Eugene Delgaudio – Sterling – $8,923
• Susan Klimek Buckley – $2,700

All four of these Supervisors are well positioned to run for re-election in 2011.

[Update] It has been pointed out to me that Supervisors Miller and Buckley’s “fundraising” is in the form of a personal loan to their campaigns from themselves, rather than actively solicited money. They both have less than $200 cash on hand as of the end of 2009.

Unsurprisingly, Eugene Delgaudio leads all comers thanks to his national reputation as a bigot with a bullhorn. When your fundraising base for a local election can include national anti-equality mailing lists, you can raise money quickly.

The elephant in the re-election room is redistricting, of course. These Supervisors will not be running for re-election in exactly the same districts in which they were first elected. Population shifts since 2000 mean that the lines of Supervisor Districts will need to be redrawn considerably. Leesburg is going to grow, Broad Run is going to be divided, and Dulles and Blue Ridge will see borders shift significantly, perhaps dramatically. It may be the case that some Supervisors are not interested in running for re-election in redrawn districts after serving on the Board for multiple terms already.

It is going to be an interesting campaign, and a fascinating year and half.

(With a tip-o-the-hat to Vivian Paige.)